Comments on: Admiring the Landscape https://www.quietspeculation.com/2010/07/the-nut-draw-admiring-the-landscape/ Play More, Win More, Pay Less Mon, 29 Nov 2010 03:59:44 +0000 hourly 1 By: Chris McNutt https://www.quietspeculation.com/2010/07/the-nut-draw-admiring-the-landscape/#comment-3298 Fri, 23 Jul 2010 19:24:23 +0000 http://doublingseason.com/?p=1028#comment-3298 In reply to Jason Barnett.

@Jason Barnett.

Thank you so much for reading and commenting! I've been thinking of how to analyze data to glean predictors… I don't know if sales data will be enough to predict cards/decks prior to popularity, though with enough data, something might be possible. When looking for smaller and smaller spikes in sale, and not having access to all the singles sales out there, the false positives would probably be more frequent then the real indicators. I do think though that the more information and sources i feed into my calculations the better results i'm going to have. However, since this site is dedicated to the financial aspect of MTG deck trends may end up being a byproduct of what we are really looking to discover. The Demand Matrix will be expanded to cover other formats as well, but there is a lot more work I have to do on the spread sheets to make it useful. I'm also working on learning some other ways to crunch the data that is better suited to the task.

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By: Jason Barnett https://www.quietspeculation.com/2010/07/the-nut-draw-admiring-the-landscape/#comment-3297 Thu, 22 Jul 2010 20:55:10 +0000 http://doublingseason.com/?p=1028#comment-3297 I have been selling packs of ROE online. A lot of time I keep packs that I win, but the rares "seemed worse" and your data here tends to bear that out. I really like the "value of singles vs. packs" data.

I have been wondering if we can use card sales as a predictor for cards / decks that will be popular for upcoming events. If you have the time it would be sweet to see a demand matrix for the pool of Legacy-legal cards over the last week or so and see how the data compares with Grand Prix Columbus deck choices.

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By: Chris McNutt https://www.quietspeculation.com/2010/07/the-nut-draw-admiring-the-landscape/#comment-3296 Thu, 22 Jul 2010 11:30:07 +0000 http://doublingseason.com/?p=1028#comment-3296 In reply to aberosh1819.

At this time all my prerelease data is just copy/pasted from ebay.com sales and into excel to be manipulated. Additional information was gathered from TeraPeak.com.

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By: aberosh1819 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2010/07/the-nut-draw-admiring-the-landscape/#comment-3295 Thu, 22 Jul 2010 08:50:01 +0000 http://doublingseason.com/?p=1028#comment-3295 I've been looking for a source of eBay data to comb through myself to try to trend price spikes against tournaments and seasons, how do you pull it?

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