Are you a Quiet Speculation member?
If not, now is a perfect time to join up! Our powerful tools, breaking-news analysis, and exclusive Discord channel will make sure you stay up to date and ahead of the curve.
The Revenue Review ā Say Goodbye to your Bitterblossoms
Iām sorry, Bitterblossom, but Iām afraid it doesnāt look good. The market is saturated and demand is waning. Your time has come. But youāre not alone, your friends Cryptic Command and Figure of Destiny are coming too. Even poor old Leaf-Crowned Elder is coming along.
In you havenāt surmised by now, the time has come to sell off your Lorwyn Block cards, otherwise known as Extended staples. The reasoning is simple: Demand has peaked, and if you wait much longer youāre going to lose out on money holding onto these cards past their expiration date. For reference, look at this BlackLotusProject graph for Thoughtseize and this one for Reflecting Pool. You'll notice that both card's prices peaked around the end of January. The trend continues if you begin to look at other popular cards from the block. From this we can conclude that demand, and in turn, prices, for these Lorwyn block staples are falling off, and that means it's time for us to make our move.
I understand the format doesnāt rotate for another six months, but the Extended season is rapidly coming to a close, and your opportunity to sell along with it. Weāve already had the only Extended U.S. Grand Prix of the season, and players across the country are running out of Extended PTQs to compete in. Truthfully, we're actually a little late to the party, since demand seems to have peaked (on Ebay, at least) a few weeks ago. But buy prices for most cards are likely still the same, so you need to capitalize on this while you can.
So, unless you plan on holding onto your Lorwyn block cards for other reasons, itās time to clean out your collection (including your boxes for extras) and move the cards. As prices on Ebay are down as whole for the block, I suggest pitching the cards to dealers while you can. This saves you some time and is particularly helpful if youāre trying to move a lot of uncommons and lower-priced rares. With the trend of lower prices on Ebay, you arenāt even eating much in profit here to save a lot of your time and energy.
Iāve sold a bit of my Lorwyn stock in the last week (after I noticed the downward trend on BlackLotusProject) and I plan on getting rid of the rest to a dealer right before I win the PTQ in Oklahoma this Saturday. If you happen to live in the region and are traveling to the tournament, find me and say hello! Iāll be the one casting Emrakuls on Turn 3.
* Quick aside regarding selling to dealers
Something very helpful to do when youāre heading to a tournament with the intentions of selling is communicating with the dealer beforehand. At the PTQs in this area, only one dealer shows up, so I donāt have to worry about comparing prices.
Iām working to contact the dealer before the tournament Saturday and send him a list of the cards Iām looking to liquidate. This allows us to agree to a price beforehand, which has a few benefits. It allows me to sell my cards off first thing in the morning and then focus solely on my plans to cast Emrakul, the Aeons Torn. For the dealer, it allows him to pre-plan his day and what cards heās going to have in stock. He also is able to get the cards right away, and turn around and sell them to players looking to complete their decks for the tournament.
*End aside
Since most of you reading this are savvy Magic investors, you already know the big cards to unload. Cryptic Command, Sunken Ruins, Kitchen Finks, Thoughtseize, and so on. Iām not going to focus on the obvious ones today. Instead, Iām going to break down each of the four sets in Lorwyn Block and find some of the under-the-radar gems from each that you should consider selling.
While not all of these cards are popular because of the Extended season, itās likely that most of them will experience some sort of dropoff as a result of rotation. Iām going to use Channel Fireball buy prices, though if you are selling to an online dealer youāre best off using Chris McNuttās incredible chart work with buylists, found here. You can also still get premium on many of these cards on Ebay, just be aware that prices on nearly all these cards are trending down. A lot of the cards Iām going to look at sell for rather low prices to dealers, but itās still more than they will sell for in a year. And all these small numbers add up very quickly.
With that, letās begin.
Lorwyn
Sower of Temptation
You can get $2.50 for these right now, even though its play has been marginal at best. While the card does have Legacy applications, youāre going to be able to reacquire them after rotation for rather cheap, so I suggest making $2.50 a pop off of these now.
Tribal lands
Cards like Auntie's Hovel and Gilt-Leaf Palace are cool and all, but their price is being bolstered by the fact that they are in season. If you have some of these saved up, you can cash them in at least $.50 a pop and make some cash.
Hideaway lands
Windbrisk Heights and Mosswort Bridge form the backbone of the GW Trap deck that picked up a number of PTQ wins. You can cash them in now for $.50 to a dollar each. If you donāt have any personal use for them, itās best to pitch them since I donāt see them being broken in Legacy any time soon.
Vivid lands
Itās doubtful these are going to see play anywhere but the kitchen table in the future, so take your pile of Vivid Creeks and so forth and turn them into a few dollars.
Cloudthresher
This anti-Fae card has no applications outside of Extended, so thereās no downside to pulling these out and unloading them.
Doran, the Siege Tower
While this card is still played as an EDH general, you will able to buy a playset a year from now for the same price as one or two today. Get rid of them and pick them up cheap later if you really need them.
Elf Cards
This probably has a lot more to do with the fact that Elves are insanely popular with casual players, but cards like Imperious Perfect can fetch you a few dollars apiece. Iām not sure if their price is going to be much affected by rotation, but thereās no reason not to get rid of them now anyway.
Scion of Oona
These arenāt even played in a lot of Faerie decks anyway, so feel free to pick up $2 apiece for these.
Foil watch
More Elf cards
Imperious Perfect and Elvish Promenade are best non-rare Elf cards to look for in foil.
Mulldrifter
$.50 each for a common.
Oblivion Ring
These foils can fetch you a dollar each at the minimum. Not bad for a card thatās seen a few reprints.
Ponder
Legacy players like Foils, I hear. You can get at least $2 apiece on these.
Silvergill Adept
Legacy players. Foils. Yeah. $4 each.
Spellstutter Sprite
Another ridiculous common. $3 each in foil.
Vivid Lands (again)
These will pull you in at least $1 in foil, except for Vivid Grove, which receives no love.
Morningtide
Vendillion Clique
Another card that has Legacy applications, but you can get $5 for one of these right now. If you arenāt playing these in your deck, sell them.
Chameleon Colossus
The Colossus seems to fall in and out favor with players, but itās pretty popular with buyers. It has no real uses after rotation. $2.
Reveillark
Awesome card for both casual and competitive play, but not much of a player in the current Extended metagame. Sell for $2.
Leaf-Crown Elder
I know the Shaman deck was played on MODO for awhile and posted some decent results. Iām not sure if itās still around, but the foliage-covered Elder can fetch a dollar online.
Heritage Druid
Another power uncommon that floats around in nearly every Extended Elf list. If you donāt need them, jettison them now, because thereās not enough Legacy-only demand for it to hold its price after rotation.
Mutavault
Iām suggesting you sell these now, and immediately pick them back up after rotation. They are going to be part of the Legacy metagame for the foreseeable future, and fit into one of the most popular decks, Merfolk. Sell now, pick up for cheap in a few months.
Foil watch
Mutavault
Star City Games BUYS these $25 apiece. Thatās pretty sick, a 250% increase on their buy price of the non-foil. If you want the easy money sell these. But unless the card gets bumped from Legacy (I donāt see it happening anytime soon) this foil is going to remain extremely valuable and likely will appreciate.
Warren Weirding
This Edict effect will pull in a dollar at the minimum from most dealers due to its applications in Legacy.
Shadowmoor
Filter lands
These awesome hybrid land cards, including Mystic Gate and Sunken Ruins (and their cousins in Eventide), can fetch a very nice price online since they make appearances in nearly every multicolored deck in the format. I suggest cleaning out your binder of these, because they sell for very nice prices right now.
Wilt-Leaf Liege
Ah, the backbone of GW Little Kid decks everywhere. Okay, so that deck isnāt really good, but these still command a hefty price, considering. You can unload these for nearly $5 apiece on Ebay and $2 to most buylists. Take advantage while you can.
Kitchen Finks
This powerful uncommon sees no competitive play outside of Legacy, and itās price can be reasonably expected to tank after rotation. Pull these out of your extras boxes and unload them now.
Spectral Procession/Firespout
A pair of three-cost uncommons that see fringe play in the format. They fetch decent prices for non-rares, though, so if you donāt need your Firespouts for Legacy pitch them along with the Bird tokens.
Boggart Ram-Gang
Yet another uncommon worth getting rid of now, since it sees play in Naya and Jund lists, and has no application after its rotation.
Reflecting Pool
These arenāt even seeing widespread play in the Extended format anymore. Get rid of these ASAP.
Foil watch
Cursecatcher
If youāre noticing a theme, itās that Legacy-playable cards carry extreme prices on foils. Little innocuous Cursecatcher? $6Ā for a foil from Star City Games.
Faerie Macabre
$1 for foils so playersĀ can have shiny graveyard hate.
Firespout
āSpout sees occasionally Legacy play and fetches $3 per foil because of it.
Kitchen Finks
$5 apiece for a foil if youāre selling to Star City Games.
Manamorphose
Another card that seems so innocent on the surface, but has seen play in a variety of decks. $2 for a foil.
Wheel of Sun and Moon
I donāt think this has seen any play at all (outside of possibly Jon Medinaās GP Atlanta deck), but a foil still nets $3 somehow.
Eventide
Eventide is full of valuable cards, owing to the fact that it was opened for so little time. You know about Figure of Destiny, but thereās plenty of other gems in here, though many of these are influenced by factors other than Extended season.
Divinity of Pride
We know this is an EDH card, so I wouldnāt fault you for hanging on to them. If you do choose to sell, however, you can net at least $4 apiece from a good buylist.
Lieges!
Creakwood Liege and Deathbringer Liege will get you $3 on Channel Fireball, while Balefire Liege is close behind at $2.50. The other two arenāt worth as much, but thereās no reason to let these rot in your binder if you have any.
Stillmoon Cavalier
I havenāt seen this card in any competitive lists in a few years, but it still fetches a $3 buy price on CFB. Iām more than happy to make a few dollars off of these.
Glen Elendra Archmage
A nice role player in the current metagame, but a card that still brings in $3 on CFB. Itās not going to hold that much value after rotation, so sell now.
Regal Force
Basically you can classify this card with the Heritage Druids, because they are played in the same deck in Extended and Legacy. Nothing special here after Rotation, so unload these at $2 each.
Stigma Lasher
Sideboard RDW card selling for $1 to a buylist? Sign me up.
Foil watch
Cold-Eyed Selkie
I canāt explain it, but you can get $5 apiece for a foil copy of this creepy-looking chick.
Hallowed Burial
I assume this is an EDH card, because a foil copy will sell for at least $4 to a dealer.
Regal Force
$6 for a foil here.
Wake Thrasher
Not a card Iāve seen in many Legacy Fish lists, so maybe foil Merfolk are just the most popular thing ever. I donāt know, but the Thrasher nets you $4 for a foil.
Iām way over my word limit, so Iāll end it there. While the TLDR version is basically āSell Lorwyn block now,ā I know Iāve found a number of surprises while working on this piece, and I hope you can turn that to your advantage. This exercise has really made me appreciate the work Doug Linn is doing pricing out older sets. There are just so many surprise cards out there, even from recent times.
Thatās it for this week. Next week hopefully Iāll have a PTQ Winnerās report for you!
Thanks,
Corbin Hosler
@Chosler88 on Twitter
On a side note Selkie sees heavy heavy vintage play and some legacy play, Island walk and drawing cards seems good. Mainly Vintage drives its price I imagine since I see it in all sorts of lists.
@Ryan Yeah, that's what I figured on the Selkie, but I don't follow the Vintage metagame at all, since it's not a huge driver on most prices.
This article kind of mentions different applications for cards, but doesn't really approach it from the best angle. Cards like Cursecatcher see almost exclusively play in Legacy, not Extended, so bulking yours (foil or otherwise) to a dealer now seems a bit misguided. Def. right on ditching the Extended junk now, though.
@Chas You're absolutely right that Legacy is what drives the price on some of these cards, which I tried to note on the individual cards. However, if I'm going to have people digging through their boxes for commons and uncommons, I wanted to be as complete as possible. If someone is looking to sell the extras from their Lorwyn collection, I would be remiss to ignore the Legacy cards.
as always, quality work, sir! I just dumped a jillion vivid's myself. your article prompted me to check out murmuring bosk on blacklotusproject.com , just now, and was surprised to see it at 3.80, this will quickly drop back to the just above $1 mark soon enough. maybe this was in the "obvious" category you talked about in your intro. š
@Chas You're absolutely right that Legacy is what drives the price on some of these cards