Thank god I avoided that one

Thanks. As several of my fellow writers mentioned a few years ago the MTG finance community was very hodge podge. You’d have guys who would spout 5 predictions, be wrong on 4 of them and then tout the one they got right. Nowadays I think it’s critical to be able to look back on successes and failures and learn from both. It’s also important to hold MTG financiers accountable on their predictions. I don’t know about you, but I’m not going to listen to the guy who gets 20% of his predictions right, and 80% wrong. I also feel like sharing my reasoning behind not only the prediction (the easy part) but the reason I feel it didn’t pan out is critical so others don’t fall for the same mistakes that I did.

Luckily, all the ruinators were after the price plummeted ($2 or less), but still…it’s likely the most I’ll ever get for them is $0.5-0.75 (if I’m lucky).

Chances are you could’ve broke even on Sylvan Primordial had you buylisted right after the announcement (which I conveniently failed to do when doing the same with my Deathrites, though I had less than 10 copies anyways).

I wouldn’t consider Black Vise and Falkenrath Aristocrat failed specs yet. Like Sig said, Vise could always become unbanned in Legacy, and there might come a time in the meta when Aristocrat will be the 4-drop of choice for Jund (though this weekend I think I probably want Thrun in there). I’ve seen some B/R Zombies lists floating around (Gravecrawler/Bloodghast/Geralf’s Messenger with a few Tymarets), so she could conceivably fit in at the top end of that list, or maybe somewhere in Melira Pod should it decide to splash red.

I wouldn’t give up on Black Vise. I don’t own any copies, but I see little reason to sell this one when you never know when it could be unbanned….