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Dragons of Tarkir's success in Standard, along with so much buzz about Modern Masters 2015, has made me think of a specific dragon.
That dragon is Thundermaw Hellkite. Once the supreme ruler of the skies during its tenure in Standard, the card has been quiet for some time now. Many months of minuscule movement on such a card that once was very popular. That popularity could be sparked once again, as have many other dragon related cards recently. Scourge of the Throne comes to mind--although the two cards are not even in the same stratosphere in terms of Constructed relevance.
Let's look at the facts:
- The card dodges an immediate reprint in Modern Masters 2015.
- Only one printing.
- Proven Constructed-viable.
- Mythic dragon.
Looking at the card right now, it's spread is not super attractive, yet. Though one can notice the small steady increase in buylist prices. That could quietly indicate that stores want to be stocking up on this mythic as an insurance policy against a spike.
In the meantime, there has been some literature about making dragons in Modern a thing. One such article can be found here: http://www.channelfireball.com/articles/devotion-to-dragons-in-modern/.
The potential is there in Modern, Silumgar's Scorn is probably as close as we will get to a Modern version of old favorite Counterspell, and well-known pros and deckbuilders are really pushing the idea to utilize these cards. Thundermaw Hellkite is one of the better dragons printed in Magic history, and in this current state of Modern deals with a highly popular card in Lingering Souls.
So, I'm glad I had an inclination to check this card out. I think the curiosity of Silumgar's Scorn's relevance in Modern let me stumble on what could be a slam-dunk card in the coming months. It's certainly one to watch as of now. Just keep in mind the spread, and the supply out there in various stores. One thing to note is that Star City Games is currently out of stock, so take it for what it's worth.
What are your thoughts on Thundermaw? Is this one just as attractive as other Stock Watch cards that have been highlighted? I think it really has potential, and an interesting pick to move on preemptively.
The spread seems to have narrowed further since we talked about this yesterday!
Why can’t this be reprinted in MMA2015? Did I miss where they excluded this? While it isn’t likely I would be careful saying something can’t be unless there’s something in writing from Wizards.
We already know INN can’t be in MM2015. INN Block’s release years were 2011, 2012, and 2012 respectively. M13’s release date was later that year in 2012. So, it’s widely assumed M13 is also out, since INN is out.
This video also clears things up: http://magic.wizards.com/en/articles/archive/even…
At around the 11:40 mark in the video, Randy names “M10 and M11” by name, and not M13.
The spread currently sits at 20%. Are you saying that isn’t attractive yet, or, as of the time of writing the article, the spread was different?
Thanks.
At the time of writing the article the spread was 23%. Under 20 starts really getting me interested.
Sorry *edit* but, just be mindful, spikes and buy-outs don’t really lend to monitoring it like that. So it’s good enough to stash some if interested.
Ok. Thanks. I was just looking for another perspective on when spreads start to look attractive. To me, anything that is sitting between 33% to 25% seems pretty good for staples. The stuff I primarily look at getting. While anything below 20% seems like it’s got a much higher chance to break out or there is just really strong turnover/demand for it. And by the way, my thinking is long-term so that’s why “higher” spreads interest me a bit more.
Accurate. Agreed.