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Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em #10

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I thought Grand Prix Detroit might’ve put a twist on my list. But wow, Guilds of Ravnica spoilers will definitely change things. This is an exciting time as we’ll start to see shifts in cards seeing play, which is what makes this game so great.

If you haven’t seen it yet, here it is.

Whuuuuuuuuut? This card will single-handedly change the landscape of Modern and Legacy. And it will most certainly make BGx a pillar in Standard until it rotates out of the format.

So why am I mentioning this card? As per usual, here's the focus of our article series:

  1. Cards that you should hold on to or pick up for tournaments if you need them before they rise in price. These cards are either seeing increased play in one or more formats, the supply is drying up, or they’re pretty far from the next reprint.
  2. Cards that you should consider selling or trading away. Their prices are pretty much at the ceiling owing to inflation from speculation, reprint inevitability in the near future, a lull in tournament play, or some combination of these.

Hold ‘Em

Sylvan Scrying - FNM Promos

There was an error retrieving a chart for Sylvan Scrying

Target Buy Price
$1

Keep in mind that Grand Prix Detroit was a Team Modern Constructed format, so the decks seen at the tournament could be a tad skewed. But generally, most of the 75's are pretty close to what we’d see in a non-team Modern Constructed tournament.

I was a little hesitant to include Sylvan Scrying in this list after seeing Assassin's Trophy because I’m not sure where Tron decks like Antonio Perez’s winning list will stand as GBx decks gain in popularity. But this is a pretty cheap promo so you can’t really go wrong. And it also sees play in Legacy’s Turbo Depths.

Thanks to Dominique Rahm for the comment on the last article in regards to adding target buy and sell prices to the public spreadsheet.

Modern: Mono-Green Tron by Antonio Perez

Creatures

3 Wurmcoil Engine
4 Walking Ballista
2 Ulamog, the Ceaseless Hunger

Non-Creature Spells

2 Ugin, the Spirit Dragon
4 Karn Liberated
4 Sylvan Scrying
4 Ancient Stirrings
2 Relic of Progenitus
4 Expedition Map
4 Chromatic Sphere
4 Oblivion Stone
4 Chromatic Star

Lands

4 Forest
4 Urza's Tower
4 Urza's Mine
4 Urza's Power Plant
2 Ghost Quarter
1 Sanctum of Ugin

Sideboard

3 Thought-Knot Seer
2 Thragtusk
1 Grafdigger's Cage
2 Spatial Contortion
3 Nature's Claim
1 Oblivion Sower
1 Emrakul, the Promised End
1 Spellskite
1 Crucible of Worlds

Eldrazi Temple - Modern Masters 2015 (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Eldrazi Temple

Target Buy Prices
Non-Foil: $5
Foils: $10

Here’s another victim of Assassin's Trophy. However, this land sees play in multiple decks across eternal formats: Eldrazi Tron and BW Eldrazi in Modern, plus Eldrazi and 8-Post Eldrazi in Legacy. And although Assassin's Trophy might seem like the end of Tron and Eldrazi decks, they’ll just find a way to deal with the card.

Nature’s Claim - Iconic Masters (Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Nature's Claim

Target Buy Price
Foil: Under $1

Here’s another card from Antonio Perez’s winning list which also showed up in Matthew Nass’s Hardened Scales Affinity and Bradley Tinney’s Infect decks. And don’t forget that this is also played in Ironworks Combo.

Modern: Hardened Scales Affinity by Matthew Nass

Creatures

4 Walking Ballista
4 Hangarback Walker
4 Arcbound Worker
4 Arcbound Ravager
4 Steel Overseer

Non-Creature Spells

4 Ancient Stirrings
2 Animation Module
2 Throne of Geth
4 Darksteel Citadel
3 Welding Jar
4 Mox Opal
1 Evolutionary Leap
4 Hardened Scales

Lands

4 Inkmoth Nexus
2 Blinkmoth Nexus
9 Forest
1 Pendelhaven

Sideboard

1 Evolutionary Leap
4 Damping Sphere
2 Dismember
1 Karn, Scion of Urza
4 Nature's Claim
1 Relic of Progenitus
2 Tormod's Crypt

Modern: Infect by Bradley Tinney

Creatures

4 Noble Hierarch
4 Glistener Elf
4 Blighted Agent
2 Ichorclaw Myr

Non-Creature Spells

1 Distortion Strike
1 Spell Pierce
1 Dismember
3 Become Immense
3 Groundswell
4 Vines of Vastwood
4 Blossoming Defense
4 Might of Old Krosa
4 Mutagenic Growth
2 Rancor

Lands

4 Wooded Foothills
1 Verdant Catacombs
2 Windswept Heath
2 Misty Rainforest
2 Forest
2 Breeding Pool
2 Pendelhaven
4 Inkmoth Nexus

Sideboard

1 Spell Pierce
1 Dismember 2
2 Nature's Claim
1 Gut Shot
1 Shapers' Sanctuary
1 Dispel
1 Pithing Needle
1 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Spellskite
2 Torpor Orb
1 Wild Defiance

Mutagenic Growth - Modern Masters 2015 (Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Mutagenic Growth

Target Buy Price
Foil: Under $4

Here’s yet another card that showed up at Grand Prix Detroit via Bradley Tinney’s Infect deck. And this won’t show up in Standard again as Phyrexian mana is generally considered a mistake. But it will continue to be a Modern Infect staple, as well as a powerhouse in Pauper.

Mishra’s Bauble - Iconic Masters (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Mishra's Bauble

Target Buy Prices
Non-Foil: $3
Foil: $7

Here’s another "free" spell card that wasn’t a mistake. We saw this spike when Death's Shadow showed up at the top tables in Modern. There was only the Coldsnap printing at the time; but since then, the card has tanked and leveled off after the Iconic Masters reprinting.

A year has almost past and now is a good time to pick up this card. This still sees play as a four-of in Lantern Control.

Smash to Smithereens - FNM Promos

There was an error retrieving a chart for Smash to Smithereens

Target Buy Price
Under $1

Speaking of artifacts, here’s another cheap promo that sees a lot of play in Modern and is also another Pauper all-star. It doesn’t deal with Mishra's Bauble, but it sure destroys a lot of key artifacts in Lantern Control.

If Assassin's Trophy becomes ubiquitous in Modern, Goblins might have its time in the spotlight, which could also include Legion Warboss or Goblin Rabblemaster. Take a look at Jorge Paul Gochingco’s list for reference. This is also one of the more affordable options for Modern.

Modern: Goblins by Paul Gochingco

Creatures

4 Foundry Street Denizen
4 Goblin Bushwhacker
2 Goblin Chieftain
4 Goblin Guide
3 Goblin Piledriver
4 Legion Loyalist
4 Mogg Fanatic
4 Mogg War Marshal
4 Reckless Bushwhacker

Non-Creature Spells

4 Goblin Grenade
4 Lightning Bolt

Lands

1 Arid Mesa
4 Bloodstained Mire
12 Mountain
2 Wooded Foothills

Sideboard

4 Alpine Moon
1 Goblin Piledriver
3 Kari Zev's Expertise
1 Shattering Spree
4 Smash to Smithereens
2 Tormod's Crypt

Skirk Prospector - Dominaria (Foil)

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Target Buy Price
Foil: $1

Moving deeper into Goblins, Skirk Prospector hasn’t really had its time to shine in Modern yet since its introduction to the format via Dominaria. But keep in mind that it’s a mana-accelerant on a body that has a converted mana cost of one, so it could definitely become a crucial piece in a deck looking to do broken things fast.

This could also become part of the one-drop package in Standard Goblins come post-October, along with Goblin Cratermaker and Legion Warboss.

Standard Goblins Crew in October 2018

Worship - Masterpiece Series: Amonkhet Invocations

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Target Buy Price
Under $40

Finally, let’s talk about a new-age Reserved List card. Many people don’t like the border, but there are definitely some people that like the unique factor. The Amonkhet Invocation version will never be printed again, capping the supply on these.

This card sees quite a bit of play in Modern, with a lot of the demand coming from the recent Spirits deck and GWx Vizier. While we didn’t see Worship in Paulo Vitor Damo da Rosa’s runner-up Bant Spirits list at Grand Prix Detroit, it still sees play in many other builds.

Modern: Bant Spirits by Paulo Vitor Damo da Rosa

Creatures

4 Drogskol Captain
2 Geist of Saint Traft
4 Mausoleum Wanderer
4 Noble Hierarch
3 Phantasmal Image
2 Selfless Spirit
4 Spell Queller
4 Supreme Phantom

Non-Creature Spells

3 Aether Vial
4 Collected Company
4 Path to Exile

Lands

2 Botanical Sanctum
1 Breeding Pool
2 Cavern of Souls
2 Flooded Strand
1 Forest
1 Hallowed Fountain
3 Horizon Canopy
1 Island
3 Misty Rainforest
1 Moorland Haunt
1 Plains
1 Seachrome Coast
1 Temple Garden
2 Windswept Heath

Sideboard

2 Disdainful Stroke
2 Dromoka's Command
1 Gaddock Teeg
1 Geist of Saint Traft
3 Rest in Peace
3 Stony Silence
2 Thalia, Guardian of Thraben
1 Unified Will

And here’s Yuya Hosokawa’s ninth place GWx Vizier deck at Grand Prix Prague.

Modern: GWx Vizier by Yuya Hosokawa

Creatures

1 Scavenging Ooze
1 Eternal Witness
1 Fairgrounds Warden
1 Shalai, Voice of Plenty
1 Walking Ballista
2 Duskwatch Recruiter
3 Birds of Paradise
4 Vizier of Remedies
4 Tireless Tracker
4 Noble Hierarch
4 Knight of the Reliquary
4 Devoted Druid

Non-Creature Spells

4 Chord of Calling
4 Collected Company

Lands

1 Wooded Foothills
1 Plains
1 Tectonic Edge
2 Temple Garden
2 Verdant Catacombs
2 Ghost Quarter
3 Field of Ruin
4 Windswept Heath
6 Forest

Sideboard

3 Worship
1 Reclamation Sage
1 Qasali Pridemage
1 Phyrexian Revoker
2 Path to Exile
1 Kataki, War's Wage
2 Eidolon of Rhetoric
2 Burrenton Forge-Tender
1 Bojuka Bog
1 Scavenging Ooze

Folds

Ixalan Checklands (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Dragonskull Summit

These have been reprinted into oblivion just like shocklands. And they’ll be in Standard together which means there will be real demand for them since they’ll be the core of almost all manabases. However, with the exception of Glacial Fortress, they don’t really see play in eternal formats so I would dump any extras you’re not using.

Dominaria Checklands (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Sulfur Falls

This is only the second printing; but as you can see, Wizards is not afraid to reprint lands like these. And just like the Ixalan checklands, only one really sees eternal play: Sulfur Falls. Dump these as demand increases post-October.

Faithless Looting - Eternal Masters (Foil)

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Target Sell Price
$4-5+

Dubbed as Modern’s Brainstorm, this card has really seen an uptick in play over the last few months owing to decks like Bridgevine, as well as Sam Pardee’s Hollow One, and Jose David Marzuca Lozano’s Mardu list from Grand Prix Detroit.

Modern: Hollow One by Sam Pardee

Creatures

4 Hollow One
4 Flameblade Adept
1 Tasigur, the Golden Fang
3 Gurmag Angler
4 Flamewake Phoenix
4 Bloodghast
4 Street Wraith

Non-Creature Spells

2 Collective Brutality
4 Faithless Looting
4 Burning Inquiry
4 Goblin Lore
4 Lightning Bolt

Lands

3 Blackcleave Cliffs
2 Arid Mesa
2 Blood Crypt
1 Stomping Ground
3 Mountain
2 Wooded Foothills
4 Bloodstained Mire
1 Swamp

Sideboard

2 Ancient Grudge
2 Engineered Explosives
2 Fatal Push
2 Grim Lavamancer
4 Leyline of the Void
3 Thoughtseize

Modern: Mardu by Jose David Marzuca Lozano

Creatures

4 Young Pyromancer
4 Bedlam Reveler

Non-Creature Spells

2 Liliana of the Veil
3 Thoughtseize
2 Collective Brutality
4 Inquisition of Kozilek
4 Lingering Souls
4 Faithless Looting
1 Dreadbore
4 Lightning Bolt
1 Terminate
2 Fatal Push
2 Kolaghan's Command
1 Anguished Unmaking
2 Blood Moon

Lands

2 Swamp
1 Plains
1 Mountain
4 Blackcleave Cliffs
4 Bloodstained Mire
4 Marsh Flats
2 Blood Crypt
2 Sacred Foundry

Sideboard

1 Nahiri, the Harbinger
1 Anger of the Gods
2 Kambal, Consul of Allocation
2 Wear // Tear
1 Liliana, the Last Hope
2 Fulminator Mage
2 Lightning Helix
1 Ensnaring Bridge
2 Nihil Spellbomb
1 Surgical Extraction

This wasn’t printed in Iconic Masters, so it could get reprinted in the next Masters set. And although it also sees play in Pauper, I would sell or trade any of these you have and pick them back up again later. Note that Star City Games right now is buying these for $4 cash.

Tarmogoyf - Modern Masters 2017 (Non-Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Tarmogoyf

Target Sell Price
$70-75

Finally, circling all the way back around to the Assassin's Trophy effect, it’s almost inevitable that we bump into the mighty Tarmogoyf again. If you don’t remember, take a look back at my second article. Sell into the hype as people are starting to lean back toward BGx decks.

The peak price was about $76 at the beginning of April 2018, so $70 might be a bit ambitious from the current market price of $57. But Assassin's Trophy does a pretty good job of clearing a path for good ‘ol Tarmogoyf.

Dark Confidant - Modern Masters 2015 (Non-Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Dark Confidant

Target Sell Price
$65

And don’t forget about one of Tarmogoyf’s best friends, Dark Confidant, which helps with the card disadvantage Assassin's Trophy creates. The peak price was around $80 at the end of March 2018, so the target sell price of $65 is pretty conservative, but also quite a jump from the current market price of $51.

Office Hours

Lastly, as some of you might have already seen from Sigmund Ausfresser’s recent article, he and I will be hosting Quiet Speculation’s first Office Hours. If you have a subscription, join us in the Discord for an ask-us-anything session.

We can chat about things like…

  • Tournament MTG finance
  • Old School Magic
  • Guilds of Ravnica spoilers
  • Upcoming Banned and Restricted Announcement
  • Whatever else

When: Thursday, September 27 at 9pm Eastern
Where: Quiet Speculation Discord Channel
Who: Sigmund Ausfresser & Edward Eng
Why: To increase community engagement
What: Anything goes

Summary

Hold ‘Em

  • Sylvan Scrying - FNM Promos
  • Eldrazi Temple - Modern Masters 2015 (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Nature's Claim - Iconic Masters (Foil)
  • Mutagenic Growth - Modern Masters 2015 (Foil)
  • Mishra's Bauble - Iconic Masters (Foil)
  • Smash to Smithereens - FNM Promos
  • Skirk Prospector - Dominaria (Foil)
  • Worship - Masterpiece Series: Amonkhet Invocations

Fold ‘Em

  • Dragonskull Summit - Ixalan (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Drowned Catacomb - Ixalan (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Glacial Fortress - Ixalan (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Rootbound Crag - Ixalan (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Sunpetal Grove - Ixalan (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Clifftop Retreat - Dominaria (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Hinterland Harbor - Dominaria (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Isolated Chapel - Dominaria (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Sulfur Falls - Dominaria (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Woodland Cemetery - Dominaria (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Faithless Looting - Eternal Masters (Foil)
  • Tarmogoyf - Modern Masters 2017 (Non-Foil)
  • Dark Confidant - Modern Masters 2015 (Non-Foil)

Office Hours

Thursday, September 27 at 9pm Eastern in the Quiet Speculation Discord Channel

Public Spreadsheet

Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em Spreadsheet

Let me know what you think in the comments below. Agree? Disagree? Why? You can also connect with me on Twitter at @edwardeng. I’m also open to suggestions on how to make this series more valuable. Hit me up.

Have fun,
Eddie

4 thoughts on “Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em #10

  1. That Assassin’s Trophy face will give me nightmares.

    Anyways, in light of that card, a hold’em on my radar is Vraska, Relic Seeker. Post-rotation, it should trend up. Vraska has been on some people’s radars for some time now, and Assassin’s Trophy is the call to action Vraska needed. It’s hard to refuse a Planeswalker with built-in removal who’s also a chump block spawner.

    I agree BG will be a pillar in Standard. It will be Golgari all day everyday.

    1. Ha. I think Trophy will give quite a few people nightmares for years to come.

      Vraska, Relic Seeker will be interesting. Not sure if Vraska, Golgari Queen will take precedence though. We’ll see. Either way, I would dump both into the hype as both will probably never see Eternal play.

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