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Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em #19

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Pro Tour Guilds of Ravnica has passed—as it was only booster draft and Standard, there wasn’t a whole lot of action outside of that. However, that doesn’t mean we should stop looking around for opportunities. As a matter of fact, the time right after a Pro Tour can be a good time to pick up cards that aren’t in the spotlight.

Article Series Main Focus Points

  • Cards that you should hold on to or pick up for tournaments if you need them before they rise in price. These cards are either seeing increased play in one or more formats, the supply is drying up, or they’re pretty far from the next reprint.
  • Cards that you should consider selling or trading away. Their prices are pretty much at the ceiling owing to inflation from speculation, reprint inevitability in the near future, a lull in tournament play, or some combination of these.

Holds

Ravenous Trap - Zendikar (Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Ravenous Trap

Target Purchase Price
$5

This is the only printing of the card, so I wouldn’t pick up loads of these. But if you want a playset, the price has come down quite a bit from a year ago. It pops up in quite a few decks. Take a look at this list.

And thanks to Arclight Phoenix, you’ll see that Arclight Red has suddenly popped up on this list. Take a look at Taruto1212’s list for reference.

Modern: Arclight Red by Taruto1212

Creatures

4 Monastery Swiftspear
4 Arclight Phoenix
4 Bedlam Reveler

Non-Creature Spells

2 Gut Shot
4 Manamorphose
4 Fiery Temper
4 Lightning Bolt
3 Tormenting Voice
4 Rift Bolt
4 Lava Spike
4 Faithless Looting

Lands

19 Mountain

Sideboard

2 Surgical Extraction
4 Ravenous Trap
1 Flame Slash
3 Dragon's Claw
3 Alpine Moon
2 Abrade

This makes sense, because Dredge is still doing pretty well on Magic Online. Check out manoah’s 1st place list.

Modern: Dredge by manoah

Creatures

4 Bloodghast
1 Golgari Thug
4 Narcomoeba
4 Prized Amalgam
4 Stinkweed Imp

Non-Creature Spells

4 Cathartic Reunion
3 Conflagrate
4 Creeping Chill
4 Faithless Looting
4 Life from the Loam
1 Darkblast
4 Shriekhorn

Lands

1 Arid Mesa
1 Blackcleave Cliffs
2 Blood Crypt
2 Bloodstained Mire
3 Copperline Gorge
1 Dakmor Salvage
1 Gemstone Mine
1 Mana Confluence
2 Mountain
1 Scalding Tarn
2 Stomping Ground
2 Wooded Foothills

Sideboard

1 Darkblast
2 Ancient Grudge
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Lightning Axe
4 Nature's Claim
2 Thoughtseize

Karn, Scion of Urza - Dominaria (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Karn, Scion of Urza

Target Purchase Prices
Non-Foil: $20ish
Foil: $60ish

A lot of demand for Karn is still driven by Standard, but it definitely still makes it way into plenty of decks outside of that.

This is one of those cards that just keeps getting better over time. Plus, there aren’t really any barriers to playing this card in any deck. I think this card is getting pretty close to its floor, if it isn’t there already, since most people are all about Guilds of Ravnica and Ultimate Masters now. So this is a pretty good time to start picking these up if you need them.

Folds

With Pro Tour Guilds of Ravnica just in the spotlight, I think these are the cards you should get rid of now if you have them and aren’t planning on using them.

Aurelia, Exemplar of Justice - Guilds of Ravnica (Non-Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Aurelia, Exemplar of Justice

Target Sell Price
$10ish

Three of the Top 8 decks had this card in their lists, with two in Luis Scott-Vargas’s 2nd place deck.

Standard: White-Red Aggro by Luis Scott-Vargas

Creatures

4 Dauntless Bodyguard
4 Benalish Marshal
4 Adanto Vanguard
4 Healer's Hawk
4 Leonin Vanguard
3 Skymarcher Aspirant
4 Ajani's Pridemate

Non-Creature Spells

3 Pride of Conquerors
2 Conclave Tribunal
4 History of Benalia
4 Legion's Landing

Lands

4 Clifftop Retreat
12 Plains
4 Sacred Foundry

Sideboard

2 Conclave Tribunal
4 Experimental Frenzy
2 Banefire
3 Baffling End
1 Mountain
2 Aurelia, Exemplar of Justice
1 Settle the Wreckage

This is a legendary multi-colored Angel, so it will probably never be a four-of in any deck. And I don’t see this making its way into Modern. However, a lot of casual players love Angels. So I think foils are probably okay to hold onto. But I would still be careful. It only sees play in 28 decks in EDH/Commander right now.

History of Benalia - Dominaria (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for History of Benalia

Target Sell Prices

Non-Foil: $20ish
Foil: $30ish

Here’s another Standard-only all-star. This was probably one of the most powerful cards the whole weekend of Pro Tour Guilds of Ravnica and it’ll probably remain that way for most of its life in Standard. But if you’re not going to use these, I would dump them into high demand right now. This doesn’t seem much play in EDH/Commander either.

Legion’s Landing - Ixalan (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Legion's Landing

Target Sell Prices

Non-Foil: $8ish
Foil: $10+

This one is slightly tougher. But I still think it’s a sell. This card saw some play in Orzhov Tokens earlier this year in Modern but hasn’t made a big enough splash to make it a high-tier deck. Take a look at Tim Watkins’s deck for reference.

Modern: Orzhov Tokens by Tim Watkins

Non-Creature Spells

2 Collective Brutality
4 Fatal Push
3 Inquisition of Kozilek
4 Lingering Souls
2 Path to Exile
3 Raise the Alarm
2 Spectral Procession
2 Thoughtseize
1 Wrath of God
2 Bitterblossom
1 Gideon, Ally of Zendikar
4 Intangible Virtue
3 Legion's Landing
1 Liliana of the Veil
2 Sorin, Solemn Visitor

Lands

4 Concealed Courtyard
1 Fetid Heath
2 Field of Ruin
1 Flooded Strand
2 Godless Shrine
4 Marsh Flats
3 Plains
1 Polluted Delta
2 Shambling Vent
2 Swamp
2 Vault of the Archangel

Sideboard

1 Bontu's Last Reckoning
1 Cast Down
1 Cast Out
2 Collective Brutality
1 Liliana, the Last Hope
1 Ob Nixilis Reignited
2 Rest in Peace
3 Stony Silence
1 Surgical Extraction
2 Timely Reinforcements

The reason I say this one is slightly tougher is because it’s a one-mana spell that is usually played in multiples. It’s also an enchantment, which is usually a harder card type to get into the graveyard if you’re looking to pump a Tarmogoyf or fuel a delirium card like Traverse the Ulvenwald.

But none of this is actually relevant right now since there aren’t any decks out there doing this effectively. With that said, I would capitalize on the Standard-only demand. You can get back into the position later if you want to, particularly keeping an eye on the Buy-A-Box promo.

Recent Buys

Pearl Lake Ancient - Khans of Tarkir (Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Pearl Lake Ancient

Purchased Price
$1.25

I bought two playsets just for fun. It’s a cheap foil mythic that will probably never spike because so much Khans of Tarkir was opened, owing to the reprinting of fetchlands. But the reason I got the card is because I read Andrea Mengucci’s recent Legacy article on Channel Fireball, and he features an updated High Tide list from Iwouldliketorespond.

Legacy: High Tide by Iwouldliketorespond

Non-Creature Spells

3 Cunning Wish
3 Meditate
4 Accumulated Knowledge
4 Brainstorm
4 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
4 High Tide
4 Mental Note
4 Mission Briefing
4 Reset
4 Thought Scour

Lands

1 Misty Rainforest
1 Scalding Tarn
2 Polluted Delta
4 Flooded Strand
10 Island

Sideboard

1 Meditate
1 Blue Sun's Zenith
2 Brain Freeze
1 Echoing Truth
1 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Pact of Negation
1 Pearl Lake Ancient
2 Search for Azcanta
2 Snap
1 Surgical Extraction
1 Swan Song
1 Turnabout

I’m not sure if Mission Briefing is what this deck needs to push it up to a higher tier, but it might be. Anyhow, there are quite a few cards that are worth keeping an eye on here other than Pearl Lake Ancient.

I’ve already mentioned Accumulated Knowledge in article #16. But I haven’t mentioned Meditate yet. It’s on the Reserved List and is starting to creep up slowly in market price. And we’ve already seen a couple of recent spikes in the average price. It’s a blue card, so it can used with Force of Will. And it has been used in multiples in combo decks other than High Tide, like ProsBloom.

Extended: ProsBloom by Mike Long

Non-Creature Spells

4 Infernal Contract
4 Meditate
4 Impulse
3 Vampiric Tutor
2 Memory Lapse
2 Power Sink4600
2 Abeyance
4 Squandered Resources
4 Natural Balance
4 Cadaverous Bloom
3 Prosperity
1 Drain Life

Lands

4 City of Brass
4 Gemstone Mine
5 Island
5 Swamp
4 Forest
1 Plains

Sideboard

2 Abeyance
4 Chill
1 City of Solitude
1 Elephant Grass
2 Emerald Charm
3 Gloom
2 Pyroblast

Watchlist

Mission Briefing - Guilds of Ravnica (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Mission Briefing

Observed Price
Non-Foil: $3-4
Foil: $10-12

As mentioned above, keep an eye on this card as it might become more popular even outside of Legacy.

Mental Note - Judgement (Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Mental Note

Observed Price
Foil: $3-5

This is another card from the High Tide list above that looks kind of interesting. This is the only tournament-legal printing of the card. It's essentially an extra copy of Thought Scour, which has already proven to be very powerful in Modern and has seen spikes before. This also sees some play in Pauper.

Pauper: UB Delver by Remi Roudier

Creatures

2 Sultai Scavenger
4 Gurmag Angler
4 Delver of Secrets

Non-Creature Spells

1 Disfigure
2 Mental Note
2 Ghastly Demise
2 Gush
2 Snuff Out
2 Spell Pierce
4 Brainstorm
4 Thought Scour
4 Daze
2 Divest
4 Gitaxian Probe
4 Ponder

Lands

2 Swamp
3 Ash Barrens
4 Evolving Wilds
8 Snow-Covered Island

Sideboard

2 Stormbound Geist
1 Spell Pierce
2 Shrivel
1 Nihil Spellbomb
2 Hydroblast
1 Duress
2 Diabolic Edict
3 Augur of Bolas
1 Annul

Boomerang - 7th Edition (Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Boomerang

Observed Price
Foil: $4ish

Here’s another card that sees a bit of Pauper play. And this is another old foil like Mental Note. You might want to also check out Sigmund Ausfresser’s recent article about old foils.

Pauper: Mono-Blue Delver by Remi Roudier

Creatures

4 Faerie Miscreant
4 Delver of Secrets
4 Augur of Bolas
4 Spire Golem
4 Spellstutter Sprite

Non-Creature Spells

1 Snap
2 Brainstorm
2 Deprive
3 Gush
4 Counterspell
4 Vapor Snag
4 Preordain
4 Ponder

Lands

16 Island

Sideboard

3 Stormbound Geist
2 Gut Shot
1 Echoing Truth
4 Dispel
4 Curse of Chains
1 Boomerang

Niv-Mizzet, Parun - Guilds of Ravnica (Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Niv-Mizzet, Parun

Observed Price
Foil: $10-12

It’s kind of funny that this sees play only in Standard and Vintage right now.

And it doesn’t see too much play in EDH/Commander yet.

But the effects on this card are quite powerful, so I would keep an eye on it. And just like with Angels, casual players also love Dragons. It’s also a Wizard, but I’m not sure that really makes a difference, since it’s already uncounterable so it doesn’t take advantage of something like Cavern of Souls. But there could still be some other Wizard synergies with this card, so pay attention.

Public Spreadsheet

Stay up to the minute on what I’m looking at on a daily basis via the Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em - Public MTG Finance Spreadsheet. Don’t forget to bookmark it, because I update it on the fly. This way you can see what’s going on as the market moves and before articles about certain cards are published.

Summary

Holds

  • Ravenous Trap - Zendikar (Foil)
  • Karn, Scion of Urza - Dominaria (Non-Foil & Foil)

Folds

  • Aurelia, Exemplar of Justice - Guilds of Ravnica (Non-Foil)
  • History of Benalia - Dominaria (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Legion's Landing - Ixalan (Non-Foil & Foil)

Recent Buys

  • Pearl Lake Ancient - Khans of Tarkir (Foil)

Watchlist

  • Mission Briefing - Guilds of Ravnica (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Mental Note - Judgement (Foil)
  • Boomerang - 7th Edition (Foil)
  • Niv-Mizzet, Parun - Guilds of Ravnica (Foil)

Public Spreadsheet

Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em Spreadsheet

Let me know what you think in the comments below. Agree? Disagree? Why? You can also connect with me on Twitter at @edwardeng. I’m also open to suggestions on how to make this series more valuable. Hit me up.

Have fun,
Eddie

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