menu

Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em #21 (Free Giveaway #1)

Are you a Quiet Speculation member?

If not, now is a perfect time to join up! Our powerful tools, breaking-news analysis, and exclusive Discord channel will make sure you stay up to date and ahead of the curve.

Weā€™ve got a lot of cool stuff and cards to cover this week, so letā€™s get right into it. First off, the last article was #20. This is a small milestone in regards to the whole Magic community, but a pretty large one for me. Thus, I wanted to start this article with a big thank you to the Quiet Speculation team, readers, and Magic: The Gathering community. This is an incredible game that has shaped my life and the lives of many others. And with the recent release of Magic Arena, I can see Magic continually moving forward in the right direction to expand its reach to many more people across the world.

As part of this thank you, Iā€™m going to try something new this time. Iā€™m going to start off this article with the Recent Sells section. But thatā€™s not the twist. Rather, I want to get your feedback on what I should use my Card Kingdom store credit on. Take a look at the list of cards that I buylisted and the amount quoted (before grading). Then use the following links to make suggestions on what cards from Card Kingdom I should get and why. As a result, I will send each person from the United States who responds with a legit answer, four foil Accumulated Knowledges from Masters 25.

And donā€™t worry, weā€™ll also get to some nice lists of cards to pick up and get rid of owing to the full list of Ultimate Masters cards that was recently revealed.

Article Series Main Focus Points

Cards that you should hold on to or pick up for tournaments if you need them before they rise in price. These cards are either seeing increased play in one or more formats, the supply is drying up, or theyā€™re pretty far from the next reprint.

Cards that you should consider selling or trading away. Their prices are pretty much at the ceiling owing to inflation from speculation, reprint inevitability in the near future, a lull in tournament play, or some combination of these.

Recent Sells

Take a look at the buylist order here.

Link this article and let me know what I should buy on Card Kingdom and why on Twitter or Facebook, and Iā€™ll get back to you.

Giveaway Redemption Steps
1. Tag me on social media @edwardeng.
2. Link the article when you tag me.
3. List what cards you think I should buy.
4. Tell me why I should buy those cards.
5. If legit, I'll send you a free playset of foil Accumulated Knowledge from Masters 25.

Holds

Urza Lands from Antiquities

There was an error retrieving a chart for Urza's Tower

There was an error retrieving a chart for Urza's Mine

There was an error retrieving a chart for Urza's Power Plant

Target Purchase Prices
Urzaā€™s Tower: $12+
Urzaā€™s Mine: $7+
Urzaā€™s Power Plant: $7+

Many people have been focused on a lot of other popular cards that werenā€™t reprinted in Ultimate Masters like Surgical Extraction, Thing in the Ice, Foil, Goblin Lore, Manamorphose, and Collected Company. However, there hasnā€™t been that much talk about the Tron lands.

Maybe that's because theyā€™ve been printed many times. Maybe it's because a lot of people donā€™t like Tron. Who knows. Regardless, Tron is a pretty popular deck. And itā€™s a deck that does quite well in many different forms in Modern. The lands also see a lot of play in Pauper. Not to mention thatĀ Antiquities goes way back and is legal in the Old School format. If you need or want these, now is a pretty good time to get them. And once you get them, you can pretty much hold on to them, as theyā€™ll just continue to go up in value because theyā€™re so old, iconic, and useful.

Blinkmoth Nexus - Modern Masters & Modern Masters 2015 (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Blinkmoth Nexus

Target Purchase Price
Non-Foil: $5ish
Foil: $14ish

This has been on the rise for a little bit now and could continue its upward climb since itā€™s another card that didnā€™t get reprinted in Ultimate Masters. If you donā€™t have them and need or want them, itā€™s still probably a good time to pick them up; but I wouldnā€™t get too many extra playsets.

It sees a decent amount of play in Modern via Affinity, Modular Affinity, and Colorless Eldrazi. So the demand is there. And donā€™t forget about foil Serum Powder in Colorless Eldrazi, which I mentioned in article #18. Take a look at Mashmalovskyā€™s list for reference.

Modern: Colorless Eldrazi by Mashmalovsky

Creatures

4 Eternal Scourge
4 Eldrazi Mimic
4 Endless One
4 Thought-Knot Seer
4 Reality Smasher
4 Simian Spirit Guide

Non-Creature Spells

4 Dismember
2 Smuggler's Copter
4 Serum Powder
4 Chalice of the Void

Lands

1 Mutavault
1 Field of Ruin
2 Gemstone Caverns
2 Scavenger Grounds
3 Blinkmoth Nexus
3 Ghost Quarter
4 Eldrazi Temple
4 Zhalfirin Void
2 Wastes

Sideboard

2 Spatial Contortion
2 Sorcerous Spyglass
4 Relic of Progenitus
3 Ratchet Bomb
1 Karn, Scion of Urza
2 Gut Shot
1 Gemstone Caverns

Legion Warboss - Guilds of Ravnica (Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Legion Warboss

Target Purchase Price
$5ish

Guilds of Ravnica is starting to finally cool down a bit now since many people are focused on Ultimate Masters. So this is a decent time to start looking at some multi-format players such as Legion Warboss. Outside of Standard, itā€™s been showing up in Legacyā€™s Dragon Stompy and Modernā€™s Goblins. Take a look at Jundilion and Kylehlā€™s respective lists for reference.

Legacy: Dragon Stompy by Jundilion

Creatures

1 Pia and Kiran Nalaar
1 Hazoret the Fervent
3 Magus of the Moon
4 Legion Warboss
4 Goblin Rabblemaster
4 Simian Spirit Guide

Non-Creature Spells

2 Fiery Confluence
4 Blood Moon
2 Trinisphere
3 Ensnaring Bridge
4 Chrome Mox
4 Chalice of the Void
1 Chandra, Pyromaster
1 Karn, Scion of Urza
3 Chandra, Torch of Defiance

Lands

4 City of Traitors
4 Ancient Tomb
11 Mountain

Sideboard

3 Thought-Knot Seer
2 Sulfur Elemental
2 Sorcerous Spyglass
3 Scab-Clan Berserker
3 Faerie Macabre
2 Abrade

The reprint of Ancient Tomb in Ultimate Masters is aĀ nice little bump in supply for this deck as well as many other decks in Legacy.

Modern: Goblins by Kylehl

Creatures

2 Goblin Warchief
4 Goblin Chieftain
4 Goblin Piledriver
4 Goblin Rabblemaster
4 Legion Loyalist
4 Legion Warboss
4 Mogg War Marshal
4 Skirk Prospector

Non-Creature Spells

3 Lightning Bolt
4 Collected Company

Lands

1 Kessig Wolf Run
2 Bloodstained Mire
2 Cavern of Souls
4 Wooded Foothills
4 Mutavault
4 Stomping Ground
6 Mountain

Sideboard

1 Shapers' Sanctuary
4 Leyline of the Void
4 Goblin Trashmaster
2 Dismember
4 Alpine Moon

On top of Ancient Tomb, Ultimate Masters adds more copies of Cavern of Souls to the market, which is nice since it also sees a ton of play in multiple formats.

Folds

Foil Urza Lands from 8th Edition & 9th Edition

 

There was an error retrieving a chart for Urza's Tower

There was an error retrieving a chart for Urza's Mine

There was an error retrieving a chart for Urza's Power Plant

Target Sell Prices
Urzaā€™s Tower: $45-80
Urzaā€™s Mine: $50-75
Urzaā€™s Power Plant: $58-100

These are a bit tougher to deal with compared to their AntiquitiesĀ counterparts mentioned in the Holds section above. The price ranges between Mid and Market on TCGplayer is a bit wide. So if you have these and want to lock in value now, youā€™ll have to dig a little bit deeper into the different foil versions to see whatā€™s going on and how much you want to get rid of them at.

But I can also understand if you want to hold onto these since they didnā€™t get reprinted in Ultimate Masters. However, I would just be careful, as these will probably see a reprint at some point in the future. And those reprints could very well contain new foil versions which could tank the prices of these. Theyā€™re pretty high right now but should continue to grow a bit until the reprint happens.

Thing in the Ice - Shadows of Innistrad (Non-Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Thing in the Ice

Target Sell Price
$10-15

This and the next two cards also dodged an Ultimate Masters reprint. While this is a newer card than the other two, itā€™s been over two years since it was printed. And it's starting to see a sizeable amount of more play in Modern thanks to Arclight Phoenix. Take a look at Ross Merriamā€™s top list from SCG Las Vegas.

Modern: Izzet Phoenix by Ross Merriam

Creatures

4 Arclight Phoenix
4 Crackling Drake
4 Thing in the Ice

Non-Creature Spells

1 Lightning Axe
2 Fiery Temper
3 Gut Shot
4 Thought Scour
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Manamorphose
1 Sleight of Hand
3 Chart a Course
4 Faithless Looting
4 Serum Visions

Lands

1 Watery Grave
1 Flooded Strand
1 Polluted Delta
2 Mountain
2 Island
3 Steam Vents
4 Scalding Tarn
4 Spirebluff Canal

Sideboard

2 Collective Brutality
3 Anger of the Gods
1 Ral, Izzet Viceroy
2 Surgical Extraction
2 Dispel
1 Disdainful Stroke
1 Ceremonious Rejection
2 Abrade
1 Engineered Explosives

I think itā€™s time to cash in on the hype and shortage thatā€™s happening.

Goblin Lore - Portal Second Age, Starter 1999, & 10th Edition

There was an error retrieving a chart for Goblin Lore

Target Sell Price
$20-25

This was a sorely needed reprint since supply is pretty low. We saw a gigantic spike to $30 for this uncommon with the emergence of Hollow One decks like Hollowine in Modern. And now the card is even seeing play in the new Red Spells deck...again, thanks to Arclight Phoenix. Take a look at Fortiniā€™s list for reference.

With that said, you might want to wait just a little bit to see if thereā€™s another spike coming, which could happen in next month or so.

Modern: Red Spells by Fortini

Creatures

4 Street Wraith
4 Arclight Phoenix
4 Flameblade Adept
4 Hollow One

Non-Creature Spells

1 Gut Shot
3 Fiery Temper
4 Manamorphose
4 Lightning Bolt
3 Goblin Lore
4 Burning Inquiry
4 Faithless Looting
3 Blood Moon

Lands

18 Mountain

Sideboard

4 Tormod's Crypt
2 Shrine of Burning Rage
2 Eidolon of the Great Revel
3 Dragon's Claw
2 Abrade
2 Gut Shot

Manamorphose - Shadowmoor & Modern Masters (Non-Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Manamorphose

Target Sell Price
$13-15

Hereā€™s the other card that really needed a reprint. Look at all the decks that play the card in multiples.

Iā€™m also not sure when this will get reprinted, but it definitely will at some point. And if youā€™re holding extra copies, Iā€™d sell into the demand thatā€™s causing the huge spike right now.

Watchlist

Collected Company - Dragons of Tarkir (Non-Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Collected Company

Observed Price
$17

As mentioned above, Surgical Extraction, Thing in the Ice, and Manamorphose have all seen spikes already because they werenā€™t reprinted in Ultimate Masters. And Goblin Lore has already spiked once and hasnā€™t dipped too much since then. But Collected Company is a little bit different. It seems a little bit off the radar of some people. It definitely sees a lot of play in Modern and could see a spike very soon. So if you need or want these, you might want to consider picking them up now, especially because Spirits is currently one of the top decks.

Legion Loyalist - Guilds of Ravnica: Guild Kits

Legion Loyalist

Observed Price
$4ish

This spiked pretty hard earlier this year and has been falling sharply ever since. And now might be a good time to pick this up, especially with this reprint. And just a quick note, there are a few other cards to note that are currently in the top ten prices of this supplemental product. They are Mission Briefing which I mentioned in article #19, Legion Warboss which was mentioned above, and Legion Loyalist.

And take a look at the newest take on 8-Whack that Kelmasterp has been doing well with lately on Magic Online.

Modern: 8-Whack by Kelmasterp

Creatures

3 Signal Pest
4 Bomat Courier
4 Reckless Bushwhacker
4 Legion Loyalist
4 Grim Lavamancer
4 Goblin Guide
4 Goblin Bushwhacker
4 Fanatical Firebrand
4 Burning-Tree Emissary

Non-Creature Spells

4 Lightning Bolt
3 Devastating Summons
3 Blood Moon

Lands

1 Sacred Foundry
3 Bloodstained Mire
4 Arid Mesa
4 Scalding Tarn
6 Mountain

Sideboard

3 Stony Silence
2 Smash to Smithereens
2 Searing Blaze
3 Rest in Peace
3 Goblin Chainwhirler
2 Dismember

I like the inclusion of Signal Pest, as it improves the percentage of cards you can cast with the green mana from Burning-Tree Emissary, which Iā€™ve thought to be a problem of the deck for quite some time until now.

Next, Iā€™m going to do something a little different since it seems like a lot of people have been focusing on the cards that were missing from Ultimate Masters. Instead, I wantĀ to highlight cards to keep an eye on as the supply enters the market.

Fulminator Mage - Ultimate Masters (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Fulminator Mage

Observed Prices
Non-Foil: $11
Foil: $40

I mentioned this as a Fold in article #11 a little over two months ago. Let me know in the comments below if you took advantage of that. Now that itā€™s been reprinted, play close attention to the non-foils. I think Iā€™ll pick up a playset if they fall below $10. Iā€™ve wanted to add a playset to my collection for a while since the hybrid mana makes it pretty versatile and still pretty popular even with the printing of Assassin's Trophy, which I thought might overshadow Fulminator Mage.

Desperate Ritual - Ultimate Masters (Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Desperate Ritual

Observed Price
Foil: $5

This was actually reprinted a little over a year ago in the Duel Decks: Mind vs. Might product, so thereā€™s already been a slight increase in supply. But there will be a lot more copies on the market very soon, which is nice since itā€™s starting to see even more play on top of Storm; again, thanks to Arclight Phoenix via the Mono-Red Spells deck. If the foils drop to about $3, Iā€™ll pick up a playset.

Lava Spike - Ultimate Masters (Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Lava Spike

Observed Price
Foil: $5

Speaking of the Mono-Red Spells deck, hereā€™s another card that sometimes show up in that list. Take a look at kbzxā€™s list for reference.

Modern: 8-Whack by kbzx

Creatures

4 Bedlam Reveler
4 Monastery Swiftspear
4 Arclight Phoenix

Non-Creature Spells

4 Manamorphose
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Fiery Temper
4 Desperate Ritual
1 Flame Jab
4 Lava Spike
4 Tormenting Voice
4 Faithless Looting

Lands

19 Mountain

Sideboard

4 Tormod's Crypt
3 Shrine of Burning Rage
2 Shattering Spree
3 Scab-Clan Berserker
3 Gut Shot

This equates to even more demand for the card on top of Burn in Legacy, Modern, and Pauper. So you might want to beĀ considering getting these if they hit $3.

Foil - Ultimate Masters (Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Foil

Observed Price
Foil: $5

This is going to be interesting now that itā€™s a common, making it legal in Pauper. This might push Delver decks way over the top, resulting in a ban (not sure which card). So Iā€™d be careful with this one. But if you can get them for $3 or less, the risk isnā€™t too bad. And the artwork is nice!

Sleight of Hand - Ultimate Masters (Non-Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Sleight of Hand

Observed Price
$2.49

Foils are crazy expensive, starting out at $24.99 on Card Kingdom. Funny thing is, that kind of makes sense since it sees a lot of play in all these decks and as a four-of.

Iā€™ve been wanting this card for a while now. And if they drop to about a buck or two, Iā€™ll definitely pick up a playset.

Bridge from Below - Ultimate Masters (Non-Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Bridge from Below

Observed Price
$9ish

If this falls to $5, Iā€™ll probably pick up a playset. The Bridgevine deck almost seemed like a flash in the pan, but maybe it was because there was a low supply of this card, and it shot up in price very fast. However, it is still a powerful deck and still shows up. As a matter of fact, a 5-0 list just showed up on Magic Online courtesty ofĀ audio336.

Modern: Bridgevine by audio336

Creatures

4 Bloodghast
3 Goblin Bushwhacker
4 Gravecrawler
1 Greater Gargadon
4 Insolent Neonate
4 Stitcher's Supplier
4 Vengevine
4 Viscera Seer
4 Walking Ballista

Non-Creature Spells

2 Collective Brutality
4 Faithless Looting
4 Bridge from Below

Lands

4 Blackcleave Cliffs
2 Blood Crypt
4 Bloodstained Mire
1 Mountain
1 Overgrown Tomb
1 Stomping Ground
1 Swamp
4 Verdant Catacombs

Sideboard

4 Assassin's Trophy
1 Blasphemous Act
2 Damping Sphere
1 Darkblast
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Necrotic Wound
2 Thoughtseize

This list even includes quite a few new cards with a full playset of Assassin's Trophy in the sideboard along with a copy of Necrotic Wound. Itā€™s also nice that Vengevine got a reprint in Ultimate Masters, making this deckā€™s key pieces even more accessible.

Golgari Thug - Ultimate Masters (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Golgari Thug

Observed Price
Non-Foil: $2
Foil: $8

While weā€™re on the subject of graveyard decks, as mentioned in article #20, Dredge is still very powerful and prominent in Modern. Itā€™ll be nice if this hits $1 since the Ravnica version shot up to about $6.

This usually only sees play as a one-or two-of in Modern and Legacy, so either way, I think youā€™re fine picking up what you need. If you want shiny things, go for the foils if and when they hit about $5. If you're a plain jane, go for the non-foils if they hit $1.

Eternal Witness - Ultimate Masters (Non-Foil & Foil)

There was an error retrieving a chart for Eternal Witness

Observed Price
Non-Foil: $6
Foil: $16

Iā€™m not really sure how much Ultimate Masters will be opened. But if thereā€™s enough supply that hits the market, itā€™s possible the non-foils hit $2-3. I would pick up a playset if it does. I doubt the foils will drop to $10. But if they do, I might consider picking up those instead.

This is listed as a Watchlist item because it sees a good amount of play but not usually as a four-of. Green is also very powerful and popular in EDH/Commander with Eternal Witness showing up in a whopping 55,000+ decks.

A hundred dollars is a little steep for the Box Topper version, but maybe itā€™s worth it. Itā€™s hard to say. If you have the cash, go for it. Otherwise, youā€™re probably better off sticking with non-foils or maybe regular foils.

Office Hours

Office Hours #3 is coming up, and Iā€™ll be co-hosting it with Sigmund Ausfresser. If you have a Quiet Speculation membership subscription, you can catch the audio of Office Hours #1 with Sigmund Ausfresser and me here in case you missed it. Or you can listen to Office Hours #2 with Christopher Martin and me here for free.

Office Hours #3 is set for Thursday, December at 8:00 p.m. Central, so mark your calendars and join us in the Discord channel if you have a Quiet Speculation membership subscription.

Public Spreadsheet

Stay up to the minute on what Iā€™m looking at on a daily basis via the Hold ā€˜Em & Fold ā€˜Em - Public MTG Finance Spreadsheet. Donā€™t forget to bookmark it, because I update it on the fly. This way you can see whatā€™s going on as the market moves and before articles about certain cards are published.

Summary

Holds

  • Urza Lands from Antiquities
  • Blinkmoth Nexus - Modern Masters & Modern Masters 2015 (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Legion Warboss - Guilds of Ravnica (Foil)

Folds

  • Foil Urza Lands from 8th Edition & 9th Edition
  • Thing in the Ice - Shadow of Innistrad (Non-Foil)
  • Goblin Lore - Portal Second Age, Starter 1999, & 10th Edition
  • Manamorphose - Shadowmoor & Modern Masters (Non-Foil)

Watchlist

  • Collected Company - Dragons of Tarkir (Foil)
  • Legion Loyalist - Guilds of Ravnica: Guild Kits
  • Fulminator Mage - Ultimate Masters (Non-Foil & Foil)
  • Desperate Ritual - Ultimate Masters (Foil)
  • Lava Spike - Ultimate Masters (Foil)
  • Foil - Ultimate Masters (Foil)
  • Sleight of Hand - Ultimate Masters (Non-Foil)
  • Bridge from Below - Ultimate Masters (Non-Foil)
  • Golgari Thug - Ultimate Masters (Non-Foil Foil)
  • Eternal Witness - Ultimate Masters (Non-Foil Foil)

Public Spreadsheet

Hold ā€˜Em & Fold ā€˜Em Spreadsheet

Free Foil Accumulated Knowledge Playset from Masters 25 - Help Me Spend Store Credit

Link this article and let me know what I should use my store credit on that I got from my recent buylist order toĀ Card Kingdom and why on Twitter or Facebook, and Iā€™ll get back to you.

Giveaway Redemption Steps
1. Tag me on social media @edwardeng.
2. Link the article when you tag me.
3. List what cards should I buy.
4. Tell me why I should buy those cards.
5. If legit, I'll send you a free playset of foil Accumulated Knowledge from Masters 25.

Let me know what you think in the comments below. Agree? Disagree? Why? You can also connect with me on Twitter at @edwardeng. Iā€™m also open to suggestions on how to make this series more valuable. Hit me up.

Have fun,
Eddie

2 thoughts on “Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em #21 (Free Giveaway #1)

  1. Concerning eventual bans in Pauper down the line, my thoughts lean toward Gush. While it isn’t as broken of a spell as it was in Vintage (where it took them several times to learn from the mistake of unrestricting it), Pauper is currently the only Format where you can play a full set of the card. With Foil becoming legal, it effectively turns Gush into “Sacrifice 2 Islands, Draw 2 Cards, Counter target spell” at the very minimum. With Pauper becoming a Competitive format on MODO, I don’t think this interaction will last very long.

    Daze even becomes “Counter target spell unless an opponent pays one, if they do, Discard a card and that Island you just picked up to counter that spell.” Foil won’t be a 4-of, but it will start showing up in numbers in Pauper (along with Fire/Ice, but that’s a different topic).

    1. I think your assessments are quite accurate, Zeb.

      While I don’t like to talk too much about bannings in general because it’s all speculative (contrary to part of this site/brand’s name), the Magic Online results have quite a bit of data showing Gush decks winning a good amount of the time.

      Thus, I think this could be a good indicator that Wizards could potentially have Gush and other cards on a watchlist. Time will tell.

Join the conversation

Want Prices?

Browse thousands of prices with the first and most comprehensive MTG Finance tool around.


Trader Tools lists both buylist and retail prices for every MTG card, going back a decade.

Quiet Speculation