Ragavan Nimble Pilferer | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com Play More, Win More, Pay Less Thu, 06 Jun 2024 04:08:09 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://www.quietspeculation.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/favicon.png Ragavan Nimble Pilferer | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com 32 32 May ’24 Metagame Update: Waiting for Horizons https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/06/may-24-metagame-update-waiting-for-horizons/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/06/may-24-metagame-update-waiting-for-horizons/#respond Thu, 06 Jun 2024 11:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132236

With Modern Horizons 3 near, the Modern metagame is holding its breath. Players are choosing to play established decks and coast to the metagame's finish.

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April ’24 Metagame Update: Holding Pattern https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/05/april-24-metagame-update-holding-pattern/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/05/april-24-metagame-update-holding-pattern/#respond Thu, 09 May 2024 18:01:57 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132222

Modern's metagame has fallen back on old favorites. With Modern Horizons 3 coming soon, players are holding their breath for the new shakeup. The data is clear.

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March ’24 Metagame Update: The Cascade Crash https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/04/march-24-metagame-update-the-cascade-crash/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/04/march-24-metagame-update-the-cascade-crash/#comments Fri, 05 Apr 2024 14:02:28 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132170

Violent Outburst is banned, and the Modern metagame is adjusting. However, from the data it's clear that players have little idea which direction it's heading.

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February ’24 Metagame Update: Championship Changes https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/03/february-24-metagame-update-championship-changes/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/03/february-24-metagame-update-championship-changes/#respond Wed, 06 Mar 2024 19:01:38 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132149

I haven't had to do that many metagame updates for February, it being the month where bans tend to happen. That wasn't the case this month, though I suspect that the data will add fuel to the banning call fires. I understand, but I'd caution everyone to consider the context before jumping to conclusions. February's data is defined by the Regional Championships and that created a localized warp.

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January ’24 Metagame Update: Convergent Consensus https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/02/january-24-metagame-update-convergent-consensus/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/02/january-24-metagame-update-convergent-consensus/#respond Wed, 07 Feb 2024 13:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132090

There is a clear metagame warp in January's data. However, it appears to be driven less by actual metagame forces than Magic Online being Magic Online.

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December ’23 Metagame Update: Holiday Hangover https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/01/december-23-metagame-update-holiday-hangover/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/01/december-23-metagame-update-holiday-hangover/#comments Thu, 04 Jan 2024 12:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132059

Time to close the books on 2023. It's been quite a year. We saw two of the biggest sustained warps in Modern's history, banned and restricted policy reverted to an earlier form, and we had the first unban since 2019.

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November ’23 Metagame Update: A New World https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/12/november-23-metagame-update-a-new-world/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/12/november-23-metagame-update-a-new-world/#respond Thu, 07 Dec 2023 21:34:59 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132020

With Fury and Up the Beanstalk banned, Modern is set to dramatically change. The data clearly shows how necessary the bans were, though the impact is uncertain.

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October ’23 Metagame Update: It Got Worse https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/11/october-23-metagame-update-it-got-worse/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/11/october-23-metagame-update-it-got-worse/#respond Thu, 09 Nov 2023 22:53:49 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131986

Modern continues to be dominated to an extreme degree by Scam. There has been innovation in the lower tiers, but it appears that the status quo will persist.

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September ’23 Modern Metagame Update: Getting Cheated https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/10/september-23-modern-metagame-update-getting-cheated/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/10/september-23-modern-metagame-update-getting-cheated/#comments Tue, 03 Oct 2023 21:22:17 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131949

In September, Modern's metagame developed along the same lines as it did in August. This is not a good thing, and it is getting much worse. David has the data.

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I Put All Modern’s Best Cards into One Deck and It’s Sick https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/i-put-all-moderns-best-cards-into-one-deck-and-its-sick/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/i-put-all-moderns-best-cards-into-one-deck-and-its-sick/#respond Fri, 14 Jul 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=130643

Modern has finally achieved critical mass... of legends! Mox Amber holds together a five-color pile that can grind out anything with its top-down engine-focus.

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June ’23 Metagame Update: Churn Returns https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/june-23-metagame-update-churn-returns/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/june-23-metagame-update-churn-returns/#respond Wed, 05 Jul 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131581

The June Modern Metagame Update is here. New additions have stirred Modern's mostly stagnant metagame, but that might not be permanent. David has the details.

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What Makes Modern and Legacy Special? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/what-makes-modern-and-legacy-special/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/what-makes-modern-and-legacy-special/#respond Thu, 15 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131053

Everyone has their favorite formats. In his first article, Mapson tells us why Modern and Legacy are his. He also gives us his lists for the weekend.

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May ’23 Metagame Update: Continued Continuity https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/may-23-metagame-update-continued-continuity/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/may-23-metagame-update-continued-continuity/#respond Wed, 07 Jun 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=130737

The Modern Metagame Update is out. Modern continues to be stable, despite efforts of rogue decks to make a mark. Some unexpected decks did well in May.

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How the New Banlist Policy Could Ruin Larger Formats https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/how-the-new-banlist-policy-could-ruin-larger-formats/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/how-the-new-banlist-policy-could-ruin-larger-formats/#comments Wed, 31 May 2023 12:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=130612

Aiming to revitalize Standard, Wizards has changed when bannings can occur. But the new system carries grave implications for larger formats.

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Serial Printings of Serialized Cards https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/serial-printings-of-serialized-cards/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/serial-printings-of-serialized-cards/#comments Mon, 08 May 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=129817

It appears serialized cards are here to stay, and every time Sig opens social media, he sees more of them. This week he explores the future of these novelties.

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April ’23 Metagame Analysis: Not Neck and Neck https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/april-23-metagame-analysis-not-neck-and-neck/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/april-23-metagame-analysis-not-neck-and-neck/#respond Fri, 05 May 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=129757

April's Modern metagame data is deceptive. The tale that the numbers suggest isn't the story that actually happened. David E has the explanation inside.

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April ’23 Metagame Update: Looking Familiar https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/april-23-metagame-update-looking-familiar/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/april-23-metagame-update-looking-familiar/#respond Wed, 03 May 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=129625

April's Modern Metagame Update shows the top decks settling in while innovation and change rock the lower tiers. And Murktide has a surprise for us, too!

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Caught Blue-Handed: Is Murktide Modern’s Best Deck? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/caught-blue-handed-is-murktide-moderns-best-deck/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/caught-blue-handed-is-murktide-moderns-best-deck/#respond Wed, 26 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=129313

What is the best deck in Modern? There are many possible answers, but David E. has the data-driven case for Murktide being the best deck in Modern today.

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Is Magic Getting More Expensive? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/is-magic-getting-more-expensive/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/is-magic-getting-more-expensive/#respond Fri, 07 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=128343

An article from another site on the rising cost of Magic has David S. questioning "Is Magic really getting more expensive?" Join him as he runs the numbers.

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March ’23 Metagame Analysis: A Fable of Outliers https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/march-23-metagame-analysis-a-fable-of-outliers/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/march-23-metagame-analysis-a-fable-of-outliers/#respond Fri, 07 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=128753

While the data is clear, the reasons behind Modern's metagame trends remains elusive. David E. has a finger on the deck driving the changes, and how to respond.

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